Senate control, 3 Nov 2026 Bet on it. Get paid in stock.

36%chance Republicans control the Senate, on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab) · 02:39 UTC

NO if Democrats control it.

Early market: our market maker sets the prices, and small bets fill best.

The election

US midterms: Tue 3 Nov 2026.

YES if Republicans control the Senate after it; anything else is NO.

Full rules

How it pays

Pick YES or NO and pay in USDC on Base. The winning side is paid in SPYM, tokenized S&P 500 stock on Base. UMA, an independent oracle, settles the answer.

Risks

  • A win is paid in SPYM, so its dollar value can fall.
  • You can lose what you spend. Not advice.