SPYM$89.12
Senate control, 3 Nov 2026 Bet on it. Get paid in stock.
36%chance Republicans control the Senate, on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab) · 02:39 UTC
NO if Democrats control it.
Early market: our market maker sets the prices, and small bets fill best.
- Paid out beforeWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 between Sep 28 and Oct 4, 2026?Resolved NO · pays 1 MSTR per NO share · settled on UMA ↗ (opens in a new tab)
- BackingFully backed, every stock
- PrivacyNo accounts, no tracking cookies
The election
US midterms: Tue 3 Nov 2026.
YES if Republicans control the Senate after it; anything else is NO.
How it pays
Pick YES or NO and pay in USDC on Base. The winning side is paid in SPYM, tokenized S&P 500 stock on Base. UMA, an independent oracle, settles the answer.
Risks
- A win is paid in SPYM, so its dollar value can fall.
- You can lose what you spend. Not advice.