Fed rate decision, 28 Oct 2026 Bet on it. Get paid in stock.

5.5%chance of a 25 bp hike, on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab) · 00:15 UTC

SPYM$89.19

Will the Fed raise rates 25 bps at its October 2026 meeting?

YES · thin$1.95 pays ≈ $29.57if it happens NO · thin$1.99 pays ≈ $2.00otherwise

Paid in SPYM stockCloses 29 Oct 2026

NO if the Fed holds, cuts or hikes more.

Early market: our market maker sets the prices, and small bets fill best.

Paid out beforeWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 between Sep 28 and Oct 4, 2026?Resolved NO · pays 1 MSTR per NO share · settled on UMA ↗ (opens in a new tab)
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The decision

The Fed’s rate committee (FOMC) meeting: 27–28 Oct. Its statement: Tue 28 Oct, 18:00 UTC.

YES if it raises rates 25 bps; anything else is NO.

Full rules

How it pays

Pick YES or NO and pay in USDC on Base. The winning side is paid in SPYM, tokenized S&P 500 stock on Base. UMA, an independent oracle, settles the answer.

Risks

A win is paid in SPYM, so its dollar value can fall.
You can lose what you spend. Not advice.